Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 2.650560e-05 3.169596e-05 0.000037 0.000044 0.000051 0.000059 0.000068
2025-05-18 1.996876e-05 2.668609e-05 0.000035 0.000044 0.000056 0.000069 0.000085
2025-05-25 1.439070e-05 2.140373e-05 0.000030 0.000042 0.000056 0.000073 0.000094
2025-06-01 1.088697e-05 1.791301e-05 0.000027 0.000040 0.000057 0.000077 0.000104
2025-06-08 8.683731e-06 1.569726e-05 0.000026 0.000040 0.000059 0.000083 0.000115
2025-06-15 6.947887e-06 1.380129e-05 0.000024 0.000039 0.000060 0.000088 0.000125
2025-06-22 5.379097e-06 1.184039e-05 0.000022 0.000038 0.000061 0.000091 0.000133
2025-06-29 4.006628e-06 9.899044e-06 0.000020 0.000036 0.000060 0.000092 0.000138
2025-07-06 2.877508e-06 8.107450e-06 0.000018 0.000034 0.000058 0.000093 0.000142
2025-07-13 2.207519e-06 7.028111e-06 0.000016 0.000033 0.000059 0.000095 0.000149
2025-07-20 1.753809e-06 6.280928e-06 0.000015 0.000032 0.000060 0.000099 0.000158
2025-07-27 1.405901e-06 5.673204e-06 0.000015 0.000032 0.000061 0.000104 0.000167
2025-08-03 1.221600e-06 5.519283e-06 0.000015 0.000034 0.000067 0.000115 0.000187
2025-08-10 9.249587e-07 4.936592e-06 0.000015 0.000035 0.000069 0.000122 0.000202
2025-08-17 5.515933e-07 3.867646e-06 0.000013 0.000033 0.000068 0.000123 0.000208
2025-08-24 3.360113e-07 3.143828e-06 0.000012 0.000031 0.000068 0.000125 0.000217
2025-08-31 2.178670e-07 2.696993e-06 0.000011 0.000031 0.000069 0.000131 0.000229
2025-09-07 1.331046e-07 2.291955e-06 0.000010 0.000031 0.000070 0.000135 0.000241
2025-09-14 6.753788e-08 1.847408e-06 0.000009 0.000030 0.000070 0.000138 0.000249
2025-09-21 2.589530e-08 1.407983e-06 0.000008 0.000028 0.000069 0.000138 0.000254
2025-09-28 6.266572e-09 1.020672e-06 0.000007 0.000026 0.000067 0.000138 0.000258
2025-10-05 1.301535e-09 8.081623e-07 0.000007 0.000025 0.000067 0.000140 0.000266
2025-10-12 1.552734e-10 6.704341e-07 0.000006 0.000025 0.000068 0.000145 0.000278